Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.035746 0.041525 0.047943 0.055599 0.064486 0.074483 0.086585
2025-12-07 0.026381 0.033844 0.042984 0.055007 0.070419 0.089538 0.115097
2025-12-14 0.020519 0.028392 0.038780 0.053500 0.073857 0.101073 0.140325
2025-12-21 0.016587 0.024417 0.035397 0.051937 0.076278 0.110882 0.164004
2025-12-28 0.014439 0.022421 0.034219 0.052955 0.082052 0.125674 0.196360
2026-01-04 0.012603 0.020522 0.032787 0.053204 0.086464 0.138749 0.227659
2026-01-11 0.011110 0.018889 0.031462 0.053305 0.090476 0.151482 0.259887
2026-01-18 0.010011 0.017712 0.030659 0.054061 0.095522 0.166342 0.297419
2026-01-25 0.009198 0.016892 0.030310 0.055478 0.101784 0.183889 0.341765
2026-02-01 0.008038 0.015285 0.028365 0.053764 0.102174 0.191065 0.368216
2026-02-08 0.007234 0.014218 0.027243 0.053379 0.104895 0.202688 0.404322
2026-02-15 0.006522 0.013230 0.026131 0.052842 0.107203 0.213717 0.440571
2026-02-22 0.006054 0.012673 0.025803 0.053854 0.112794 0.231996 0.494252
2026-03-01 0.005474 0.011812 0.024767 0.053293 0.115116 0.244039 0.536742
2026-03-08 0.004882 0.010846 0.023393 0.051836 0.115337 0.251719 0.570862
2026-03-15 0.004360 0.009962 0.022077 0.050323 0.115214 0.258597 0.604058
2026-03-22 0.004098 0.009622 0.021897 0.051309 0.120794 0.278643 0.669946
2026-03-29 0.003806 0.009176 0.021422 0.051550 0.124674 0.295299 0.730090
2026-04-05 0.003533 0.008739 0.020915 0.051648 0.128220 0.311591 0.791531
2026-04-12 0.003327 0.008436 0.020684 0.052380 0.133393 0.332380 0.866966
2026-04-19 0.003175 0.008250 0.020711 0.053753 0.140339 0.358348 0.959176
2026-04-26 0.002870 0.007634 0.019602 0.052093 0.139296 0.364147 0.999227
2026-05-03 0.002661 0.007242 0.019016 0.051720 0.141586 0.378785 1.065095